What meaning for caucus turnout is anybody’s guess.
As my colleague Jonathan Swan reported, the Trump and DeSantis campaigns had been getting ready for a file turnout of greater than 200,000 caucusgoers, eclipsing the earlier excessive of 187,000 in 2016. However now it’s anybody’s guess.
David Kochel, a veteran Iowa Republican strategist, predicted about 150,000 Iowans would present up on Monday, a determine according to historic norms, however nonetheless nearly 25 p.c of the registered Republicans within the state. He cited Trump’s lead and the climate as the largest elements.
In cities and suburbs the place Haley’s supporters are extra prevalent, the roads are plowed and there’s much less blowing snow. Trump’s supporters in rural Iowa are mentioned to be extra motivated, however blowing snow continues to be whipping throughout the community of two-lane highways. The DeSantis marketing campaign says his supporters are essentially the most dedicated caucusgoers of all.
All of the Iowans we’ve talked to have instructed reporters they will deal with the brutal climate. We’ll all discover out tonight, given their shoddy observe file, if they will lastly perform glitch-free caucuses.
