Gaurav Dua is the SVP – Head Capital Market Technique at Sharekhan
HDFC Financial institution has been giving the market the sinking feeling after posting disappointing numbers for the third quarter. The index heavyweight has been hammered and ripples felt throughout the market.
Gaurav Dua, SVP- Head Capital Market Technique, Sharekhan, thinks the inventory is ripe for choosing. “Publish the sharp correction, HDFC Financial institution is already at a steep low cost to its common valuation multiples prior to now 5 years.” From right here on, the draw back danger is proscribed, says Dua, who has greater than 15 years of expertise in fairness analysis.
In an interview to Moneycontrol, Dua says he nonetheless finds worth in public sector banks resembling Financial institution of India, Punjab Nationwide Financial institution and SBI. Edited excerpts:
Is the worst over for HDFC Financial institution?
Publish the sharp correction, HDFC Financial institution is buying and selling at 2.1x its FY2024 ebook worth, which is already at a steep low cost to its common valuation multiples prior to now 5 years. Therefore, the inventory has reached enticing ranges basically.
Nevertheless, the sentiment has turned weak and there are not any quick time period triggers as of now. Therefore, it might languish for someday. Technically additionally, the inventory is near sturdy assist ranges. Thus, the draw back danger might be restricted from right here and the inventory might slip right into a consolidation section.
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Is that this a superb time to choose stake in banking and monetary companies?
Story continues under Commercial
Banking and financials is an unlimited area and we might choose to be selective right here. For traders, we nonetheless discover lot of worth in public sector banks, particularly bigger banks like Financial institution of India, Punjab Nationwide Financial institution and SBI.
However, we choose ICICI Financial institution and IndusInd Financial institution within the non-public sector area. The valuations within the MFI (micro finance establishment) and NBFC area appear to be stretched and traders can look forward to higher entry level quite than chase momentum.
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Stories say SEBI is ready on impose tighter final helpful possession norms for abroad traders from February 1. Is it a significant cause for sell-off in fairness markets?
After a really sturdy rally, the markets had moved in overbought scenario and wanted an excuse to pullback a bit. The volatility in international markets and the publish outcomes correction in some heavyweights in banking sector appear to have offered the required set off for the correction. The media stories associated to FPI norms appear to have solely added to weak point in sentiments.
What’s you studying on the company earnings to this point?
It has been a combined bag. Initially, the administration commentary and earnings from the massive IT companies corporations was fairly encouraging. Even the mid-cap corporations like Persistent Techniques and Coforge have stunned positively.
However, banking heavyweights like HDFC Financial institution and Kotak Mahindra Financial institution have disenchanted by way of development outlook and are a drag on the markets. The quarterly outcomes have reconfirmed our conviction on higher occasions for IT companies and pharma sectors in 2024, as acknowledged in our yearly market outlook report launched within the mid December.
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What’s your tackle the Zee Leisure?
Zee Leisure is hit by the damaging improvement of its proposed merger with Sony. The proposal had hit many hurdles earlier additionally however the administration was assured of pulling it via efficiently.
Nevertheless, the deal has fallen via and the inventory is correcting to it pre-deal valuation multiples of 10-12x one yr ahead earnings. That’s the place it ought to stabilise as soon as the knee jerk response to the information will get absorbed and sanity returns.
Do you count on the Nifty to interrupt the 20,000 mark within the coming weeks?
It isn’t uncommon to have 10-12 p.c type of correction from the height briefly. It occurs nearly yearly and many of the occasions seems to be a possibility to purchase into high quality shares.
Furthermore, the broader market regarded overheated and the correction would assist wipe out the speculative forth available in the market.
That are the sectors to choose if there’s a main correction?
When it comes to sector desire, we imagine that IT companies, PSU banks and pharma sectors ought to outperform in 2024. Nevertheless, we proceed to deal with our key funding themes of capex, capital and shopper to play the multi-year upcycle in Indian economic system and fairness markets.
Disclaimer: The views and funding ideas expressed by funding specialists on Moneycontrol.com are their very own and never these of the web site or its administration. Moneycontrol.com advises customers to verify with licensed specialists earlier than taking any funding choices.
